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Saturday, January 16, 2010

2010 Beklentileri / 2010 Expectations

Merhabalar herkese,

Bu yazimda, 2010 yilinda Turkiye Ruzgar Marketindeki gelismeler hakkinda ongorulerimi/beklentilerimi ve tahminlerimi yazmak istiyorum. Onemle belirtmek isterimki, bu fikirler benim sahsima ait.

Turkiyede bildiginiz gibi lisansli RES(Ruzgar Enerjisi Santrali) projesi 3180 MW.

2010 senesinde bu lisansli RES projelerinin toplaminin 6000 MW olacagini tahmin ediyorum. Diger bir deyisle, 3000 MW lik yeni lisans verilecegini ongoruyorum.

78 000 MW basvurudan sadece 3000 MW lik lisans verilecek olmasi ruzgar yatirimcilari icin tek kelime ile hayalkiriligidir.

Diger taraftan, su an icin 660 MW olan kurulu gucun, 2010 senesinin sonunda, 850 MW olacagini tahmin ediyorum.

Bu ongorulerin ne kadar dogru ne kadar yanlis olacagini 2010 senesinin sonunda gorecegiz.

Selamlar,

LE

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Dear all,

I would like to share my expectations from Turkish Wind Market in 2010. I would like to emphasize that these expectations belong to me.

As you know, 3180 MW of projects has been licensed so far in Turkey.

I expect that another 3000 MW will be licensed in 2010. From another point of view, 78000MW license application was done in November 2007. However, it is simply a big disappointment that only 3000MW out of 78000MW will be licensed in Turkey.

In addition, there are 660 MW in operation now in Turkish Wind Market, I expect that this number will increase to 850 MW at the end of 2010.

Finally, we will see how many percent of those expectations become true at the end of 2010.

Best Regards,

LE



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